The scary season of Halloween is rapidly approaching, and all of the little ghouls and goblins are preparing for the event. The decorations are coming out in the neighborhood, with tombstones, and skeletons rising from the front lawns of suburbia.
In other areas of the world, folks are looking at an even scarier scenario. The Belmont Club is a put together a frightening look at what could be in our future.
In 2007 Think Progress happily announced that “a new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) released today concludes with ‘high confidence’ that ‘in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program.’” But in 2009 Barack Obama announced to the world that Iran had been secretly operating a nuclear enrichment plant. What a difference two years makes. Perhaps the better report to read from that vintage year is Anthony Cordesman’s 2007 study for the Center for Strategic and Independent Studies examining the outcomes of a hypothetical nuclear war in the Middle East between Israel and Iran. Cordesman concluded that once a conflict got started it would tend to escalate to where both countries were destroyed.
There are some frighteningly real worst case scenarios that come up. Even with all of the domestic issues that we currently have, our interests and domestic prosperity is tightly coupled to the events in the middle east. This is not a peril that we can blithely ignore.